Maintaining Optimism in the Face of Reality. Occasional observations on the state of the world, society, business and politics. Usually anchored by facts, always augmented by opinion.
Adele kindly describes me as a "sane-sounding voice from the other side." Thank you, Adele. I can say the same thing about her as well, and would encourage those looking for some reading from the left of center to give her a read, she's on my blog roll as well. She's a legitimate journalist, having work published in magazines like Mother Jones and The New Republic, including a very comprehensive piece on the religious right.
I'll need to think about how to interpret the NJ results before I make my final outcome prediction later tonight or first thing tomorrow morning. For those who are curious how this lines up to the dates the surveys were conducted (which I wanted to check to see if there was any kind of weekend bias exhibited):
- Polling Sept 16-19 (Thursday-Sunday) - 48-48
- Polling Oct 1-4 (Friday-Monday) - 49-46 Kerry
- Polling Oct 14-17 (Thursday-Sunday) - 49-45 Kerry
- Polling Oct 21-25 (Thursday-Monday) - 46-46
- Polling Oct 27-31 (Wednesday-Sunday) - 48-43 Kerry
The fact that Quinnipiac also has Bush up 8 in Florida (51-43) also seems to make me wonder if their random digit dialing just had a bad run. It does seem rather strange.
e-mail post | Link Cosmos | [Permalink] | | Monday, November 01, 2004